The Great Decompression

The Great Decompression is the divergence in income growth experienced by the middle class and the upper-middle class in recent decades. Real incomes have risen for median earners and middle-class families, but, amid skill-biased technological change, real incomes have risen much faster for the professionals who compose the upper-middle class.

Exacerbating the Great Decompression is assortative marriage. High-earning professionals increasingly form couples whose combined incomes far outstrip the average family's. The upper middle class has not just stayed one step ahead, but has widened the socioeconomic gap. Much ink has been spilled analyzing the success of the top 1 percent and top 0.1 percent, but a broader upper-middle class of working professionals has been very successful, too. And it is this class against which the middle class compares itself.

Articles

  1. What happened to the working-class husband?

    The degree divide haunting American marriage.

    The Argument. With Cathy Reisenwitz.

  2. New York City's Prime Economic Challenge: Middle-Class Family Affordability

    Affordability isn't one thing, it's many — and the city's biggest problem is the flight of families.

    Vital City

  3. America's Shifting Blue-Collar Landscape

    Even as manufacturing jobs decline, Alaska offers lucrative work for men without college degrees.

    City Journal

  4. US wealth: a gradient that steepens at the edge

    As the US economy has become evermore skill-biased, the far right end of the distribution has galloped ahead.

    Financial Times. Letter.

  5. Raj Chetty Made Me Move

    Why economic geography matters for families.

    The Dispatch

  6. Equality of the Sexes Widens the Class Divide

    Households with two educated income earners become far wealthier than those with single incomes.

    The Wall Street Journal

  7. Jordan McGillis, Economics and Technology Expert, 3-5-26

    Spotify. Podcast episode.

  8. Why the Middle Class Feels Stuck Even as Incomes Rise

    Chicago's Morning Answer. Interview.

  9. Why Does the Middle Class Feel Poor? The Great Decompression

    With the Great Decompression, incomes rise for everyone but much faster for the affluent.

    The Wall Street Journal

  10. What the Mamdani-Voting Millennials Get Right

    The big city cost-of-living crunch is a legitimate source of discontent.

    City Journal